Skip to main content

AI uses human uncertainty to predict people's behavior.




Mathematicians can use Botlzmann's formulas to create a model of how to predict human behavior. 


The reason why we cannot predict human behavior completely is that we don't have enough data from that person's life. The idea is that similar people with similar backgrounds behave in similar ways. To make the needed data matrix the researchers need complete, and confirmed data about the person's genotypes and social background. 

When we want to predict human behavior, we must determine what behavior we want to predict. Do we want to predict physical things, like where the person moves their hand? Or do we want to predict things, like how a person behaves in the voting situation? So, do we want to predict mental or physical things?  

When the AI wants to predict things like where the boxer punches next time, the AI must know data, if a boxer is left or right-handed. Then the system can use statistics to predict, which side the punches come from. And the AI can see things like muscle tension to see which hand will rise next. 

When the AI wants to predict human mental behavior, it can create a psychological profile. People normally vote for people, who have similar values to them. So, the system must collect data about a person's writings and other lifestyle. Things like outfits and other things tell about the values that person has, and then the AI can search for who has similar arguments in politics. 

And of course, things like addictions like the price of cigarettes are important for people, who smoke much. Those kinds of things also drive voting behavior. 


Isaac Asimov's psychohistory is based on the idea, that similar people behave in similar ways in similar situations. 

The things that determine our nature are our genetic background and our experience background. If that kind of database is created for every single individual on earth, that makes it possible to create models, of how certain people behave. 

The AI needs information for those profiles. The thing is that the AI can handle a very large data mass. When we think about Isaac Asimov's psychohistory, which predicts how a large human group behaves, the system uses Boltzmann's formulas to predict the gas movements. In Asimov's model, the atoms are humans. And the winds are the political movements. 

But when Isaac Asimov wrote his legendary SciFi novel-series "Foundation" there were no quantum computers and AI. And the DNA was unknown. The DNA is the human genetic code, that tells who we are. When we think about the ability to predict how people behave, we can make a matrix, of how similar people acted in history. Similar people who are in similar positions with similar backgrounds act in similar ways. 

Our genetic background along with our experiences determines our behavior. And in those models, the AI uses data about how similar people behave in history, and then those systems search for similar people. So, if the AI wants to predict how a certain person behaves, the AI must find a similar person with a similar background and then see, how that person behaves. 


https://bigthink.com/the-present/ai-model-decision-making/


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psychohistory

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Researchers think that the multiverse is not fiction anymore.

Multiverse means that our universe is one of many universes. The reason why researchers and scientists believe that this is true is that logical. About 50 years ago people didn't know that there were other solar systems. Exoplanets were only theories in the 80's.  About 400 years ago people thought that our Sun was the only star in the universe. Edvin Hubble proved that our galaxy, Milky Way is one of many galaxies. Then researchers found that galaxies form groups, and supergroups. That means that today we think that the universe, where we live is the ultimate supergroup of galactic supergroups. And logically thinking there should be other universes. We believe that the universe began its existence in an event or series of events called the Big Bang. That event did not begin, because the energy that formed material should come from somewhere. The Big Bang was not one "bang" or explosion. It was a series of events where material took form. Or the energy level that it h...
Post a Comment
Read more

Spinning cylinders prove a 50-year-old physics problem.

"Scientists at the University of Southampton have experimentally proven the Zel’dovich effect by amplifying electromagnetic waves using a spinning metal cylinder, confirming a theoretical prediction from the 1970s and opening new avenues in technology and quantum physics. Credit: SciTechDaily.com" (ScitechDaily, 50-Year-Old Physics Theory Proven for the First Time With Electromagnetic Waves) "“Colleagues and I successfully tested this theory in sound waves a few years ago, but until this most recent experiment, it hadn’t been proven with electromagnetic waves. Using relatively simple equipment – a resonant circuit interacting with a spinning metal cylinder – and by creating the specific conditions required, we have now been able to do this.” (ScitechDaily, 50-Year-Old Physics Theory Proven for the First Time With Electromagnetic Waves) Researchers amplified electromagnetic waves using spinning metal cylinders. That experiment proved the Sunyaev–Zeldovich, SZ effect, is v...
Post a Comment
Read more

What makes it hard to create a room-temperature superconductor?

"The discovery of wave-like Cooper pairs in Kagome metals introduces a new era in superconductivity research, offering potential for innovative quantum devices and superconducting electronics, driven by theoretical predictions and recent experimental validations. Credit: SciTechDaily.com" (ScitechDaily, Kagome Metals Unlocked: A New Dimension of Superconductivity) "Superconductivity is a set of physical properties observed in superconductors: materials where electrical resistance vanishes and magnetic fields are expelled from the material. Unlike an ordinary metallic conductor, whose resistance decreases gradually as its temperature is lowered, even down to near absolute zero, a superconductor has a characteristic critical temperature below which the resistance drops abruptly to zero. An electric current through a loop of superconducting wire can persist indefinitely with no power source" (Wikipedia, Superconductivity) Theoretically, a superconducting electric circu...
Post a Comment
Read more